πŸ“ˆ Model vs Market β€” watch the rating model trade these matches against Kalshi, live View dashboard β†’
World Cup 2026 Β· Canada Β· Mexico Β· USA

Live Round of 16

sample Β· Matchday 1
locked group decided projected teams from current standings match in progress italic = slot not yet decided Β· 3rd buckets resolve via Annex C on Jun 27 tap a team to trace it

Tournament bracket β€” projected the draw's two halves converging on the final Β· each slot's most-likely team + the field Β· click to trade

FIFA ranking β€” live recalculation (seeded 11 June, updated through today)
Form surge β€” no priors: every team starts equal, reputation ignored
Group standings β€” how the slots fill
Third-place race β€” best 8 of 12 advance
Round of 32 β€” how every tie fills
Why those pairings β€” the allocation as a solve